Prediction markets · Market pack
Build a prediction market bot or tool with your own AI coding agent.
Super Algo Kit helps you build a prediction market bot or tool for Kalshi or Polymarket inside your own AI coding agent. By default it builds tools: a calibration tracker and a cross-venue price comparison with fee and resolution-risk checks. Live trading waits for a confirmed eligibility check for your country, and the kit never helps you get around a venue's restrictions.
market facts
Prediction markets pack (Kalshi and Polymarket)
- Venues
- Kalshi (reported as a CFTC-designated exchange), Polymarket US, and Polymarket's international platform.
- Exchange cards
- Kalshi Trade API (event contracts), and the Polymarket CLOB API (international) and Polymarket US API.
- Key rule
- Eligibility differs by venue, entity, country and US state. Live trading waits for a confirmed check for your country.
- Default deliverables
- A calibration tracker and a cross-venue price comparison with fee and resolution-risk checks.
- Costs the kit models
- Fees, spreads, thin-book price impact and capital locked until resolution; fee numbers are estimates.
- Timing
- No exchange holidays: each contract has its own open, close and resolution times, loaded as data.
- US rulemaking
- The CFTC proposed rules for some event contracts on 10 June 2026; no final rule was listed by 25 September 2026.
From the kit's Prediction markets card, checked 2026-09-30. Not investment advice.
Paper first
Build for this market, paper first.
Super Algo Kit runs inside the coding agent you already use. It interviews you, writes the spec with pass marks set first, then builds, backtests and paper-tests. Real money starts only when you type the authorize command.
The plan, step by step
Tick them off as you go.
What can you build for prediction markets?
Super Algo Kit starts with tools, not order-placing bots. You get a calibration tracker and a cross-venue price comparison that checks fees and resolution risk.
Each contract's rules text and resolution source are stored with a hash, at design time and at trade time. Exposure is capped per event, not only per market.
Who can trade prediction markets, and which rules apply?
This summary uses CFTC and other regulator pages read on 30 September 2026. It is not legal advice, and eligibility rules change often.
Whether you may use a venue depends on its legal entity, your country and, in the US, your state. Check the venue's own rules first. The kit never helps you use a VPN or a borrowed identity to get around a block.
- Kalshi's member agreement is reported to list restricted countries; the kit has not confirmed the current list.
- Polymarket's international platform has blocked and close-only countries; the kit has not confirmed those lists.
- France ordered internet providers to block Polymarket on 16 July 2026 (reported).
- Great Britain's Gambling Commission treats a prediction market offered there as gambling (reported).
- The CFTC has penalised manipulation and insider trading in event contracts.
Which costs and timings does the pack model?
Tests include fees, spreads of one to several cents per contract (the kit's estimate), thin-book price impact and capital locked until resolution. Fee schedules and incentive programs change, so fee numbers are estimates.
There are no exchange holidays. Each contract has its own open, close and resolution times, set by the venue and the event, and the kit loads them as data.
How do you paper trade a prediction market bot?
Kalshi has a demo environment with its own credentials. For Polymarket, a working sandbox is not confirmed, so the kit's paper broker uses live public order-book data and sends no orders.
Paper fills are labelled as simulated. If a venue answers with a blocked or close-only response, the bot stops adding to positions and raises an alert.
Before you rely on it
Rules and risks to respect.
- The kit found no reliable statistic on how retail participants fare, so it will not invent one.
- A contract resolves by its written rules and named source, not by its headline.
- Matching markets on two venues can resolve differently, so a price gap is basis risk, not arbitrage.
- Thin books mean even a small order can move the price.
- A blocked country or the wrong entity is an eligibility problem, not a technical one.
FAQ
Prediction markets: questions.
Can I build a Polymarket trading bot with Super Algo Kit?
Super Algo Kit can build tools and paper bots for Polymarket inside your coding agent. Live trading waits for a confirmed eligibility check for your country, because Polymarket blocks or limits some countries. The kit never helps get around those restrictions.
Is Kalshi or Polymarket legal where I live?
It depends on the venue, its legal entity, your country and, in the US, your state. France and Great Britain treat these sites as gambling (reported). Check the venue's own eligibility rules and ask a qualified professional, because this is not legal advice.
Which prediction markets does Super Algo Kit work with?
The pack has cards for the Kalshi Trade API and for Polymarket's international CLOB API and Polymarket US API. Names are used only to say the kit works with them, not to suggest a partnership.
Can I paper trade a Kalshi bot first?
Yes. Kalshi has a demo environment, and Super Algo Kit's own paper broker can run on live order-book data without sending orders. A paper run comes before any live step.
Do Polymarket bots work?
Super Algo Kit makes no performance claims, and the kit found no reliable statistic on how retail participants fare. Regulators are pursuing insider trading and manipulation, and the rules are still changing. The kit tests ideas with fees and thin liquidity on paper first.
Keep reading
More guides.
Prediction markets · Exchange APIKalshiSuper Algo Kit helps you build a Kalshi trading bot or research tool inside your own AI coding agent.
Prediction markets · Venue APIPolymarketSuper Algo Kit helps you build a Polymarket trading bot or research tool inside your AI coding agent.Trading tool · Prediction marketsCalibration trackerA prediction market calibration tracker built with Super Algo Kit measures how well prices match how often events actually happen.Prediction markets · Comparison toolCross-venue gapsSuper Algo Kit treats prediction market arbitrage across venues as a comparison tool first, graded C.Sources the kit's card cites
- CFTC release 9249-26: proposed rule on event contracts
- CFTC release 9302-26: staff advisory on mention markets
- CFTC release 9206-26: suits against three states
- Polymarket help: geographic restrictions
- Kalshi API documentation
- ANJ (France): blocking of the Polymarket website
- Gambling Commission: prediction markets
Build it with Super Algo Kit.
15 specialist roles and 35 skills inside your coding agent. Paper first, live only when you say.
Super Algo Kit is development software. It is not investment advice, a signal service or a promise of performance. Trading involves substantial risk, including the loss of all capital you trade with.